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S&P Warns Trump’s Tariffs Could Cost $1.2 Trillion by 2025

URGENT UPDATE: New reports confirm that President Donald Trump‘s tariffs are projected to cost global businesses an astonishing $1.2 trillion by 2025, with consumers expected to shoulder the majority of this burden. Released today by S&P Global, the findings highlight the severe economic impact of current trade policies.
According to the comprehensive analysis, only one-third of the total tariff costs will be absorbed by companies, while the remaining two-thirds will fall directly on consumers through higher prices and reduced product availability. This revelation underscores a critical concern: consumers are indeed paying more for less, as noted by lead author Daniel Sandberg.
The report, informed by data from approximately 15,000 analysts covering 9,000 companies, suggests that the implications of these tariffs extend beyond immediate costs. S&P’s analysis indicates that tariffs effectively act as taxes on global supply chains, diverting essential resources toward government expenses and logistics costs, while placing significant pressure on consumer spending.
Since April, the White House has introduced a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports, targeting specific goods such as autos, timber, and kitchen cabinets. While officials maintain that these measures will shift the cost burden to foreign exporters, the S&P report paints a different picture. The findings reveal that the inflationary risks associated with U.S. trade policy could lead to unprecedented margin pressures on manufacturers and significantly impact global demand.
In a stark warning, the report states, “Collectively, these forces represent a transfer of wealth from corporate profits to workers, suppliers, governments, and infrastructure investors.” This shift not only threatens consumer purchasing power but could also complicate the paths of central banks attempting to ease monetary policy in response to economic strain.
The implications of this report are urgent. Consumers, already facing rising costs of living, will likely see prices climb even higher as businesses pass down the burden of tariffs. As S&P Global asserts, the consumer share of tariff costs may be even greater than currently estimated, raising alarms about the potential for a widespread economic impact.
As this situation continues to develop, consumers and businesses alike are urged to stay informed about the economic landscape shaped by these tariffs. The ongoing debate over U.S. trade policy and its ramifications on global markets will undoubtedly remain a focal point for economists and policymakers in the coming months.
Stay tuned for updates as we monitor the situation closely. The urgency of these findings cannot be overstated, and their potential to reshape economic interactions globally is profound.
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